Aida Huerta Barrientos and Yazmin Dillarza Andrade (June 7th 2017). Modelling and Simulation of Complex Adaptive System: The Diffusion of Socio-Environmental Innovation in the RENDRUS Network, Computer Simulation, Dragan Cvetkovic, IntechOpen, DOI: 10.5772/67740.

Şebnem Bora and Sevcan Emek (December 5th 2018). Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation of Biological Systems, Modeling and Computer Simulation, Dragan Cvetković, IntechOpen, DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.80070. 

New Zealand

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**Abstract:**

Hurricanes are devastating natural disasters. In deciding how to respond to a hurricane, in particular whether and when to evacuate, a decision-maker must weigh often highly uncertain and contradictory information about the future path and intensity of the storm. To effectively plan to help people during a hurricane, it is crucial to be able to predict and understand this evacuation decision. To this end, we propose a computational model of human sequential decision-making in response to a hurricane based on a Partial Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) that models concerns, uncertain beliefs about the hurricane, and future information. We evaluate the model in two ways. First, hurricane data from 2018 was used to evaluate the model&#39;s predictive ability on real data. Second, a simulation study was conducted to qualitatively evaluate the sequential aspect of the model. The evaluation with hurricane data shows that our proposed features are significant predictors and they can predict the data well, within and across distinct hurricane datasets. The simulation results show that, across different setups, our model generates predictions on the sequential decisions making aspect that align with expectations qualitatively and suggests the importance of modeling information.

AAMAS 2020

A Computational Model of Human Hurricane Evacuation Decision

The International Conference on Pattern Recognition Applications and Methods is a major point of contact between researchers, engineers and practitioners on the areas of Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, both from theoretical and application perspectives.
Contributions describing applications of Pattern Recognition techniques to real-world problems, interdisciplinary research, experimental and/or theoretical studies yielding new insights that advance Pattern Recognition methods are especially encouraged.

ICPRAM 2020

The International Conference on Pattern Recognition Applications and Methods is a major point of contact between researchers, engineers and practitioners on the areas of Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, both from theoretical and application perspectives.

**Please click on the button bellow to see this lecture on SlidesLive:**

[![](https://assets.underline.io/uploads/markdown_image/1/image/08e10ad349922f32e7322b77b8df9019.png)](https://slideslive.com/38946802/boston-dynamics)

**Abstract:**

Hurricanes are devastating natural disasters. In deciding how to respond to a hurricane, in particular whether and when to evacuate, a decision-maker must weigh often highly uncertain and contradictory information about the future path and intensity of the storm. To effectively plan to help people during a hurricane, it is crucial to be able to predict and understand this evacuation decision. To this end, we propose a computational model of human sequential decision-making in response to a hurricane based on a Partial Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) that models concerns, uncertain beliefs about the hurricane, and future information. We evaluate the model in two ways. First, hurricane data from 2018 was used to evaluate the model's predictive ability on real data. Second, a simulation study was conducted to qualitatively evaluate the sequential aspect of the model. The evaluation with hurricane data shows that our proposed features are significant predictors and they can predict the data well, within and across distinct hurricane datasets. The simulation results show that, across different setups, our model generates predictions on the sequential decisions making aspect that align with expectations qualitatively and suggests the importance of modeling information.

technical paper

AAMAS is the leading scientific conference for research in autonomous agents and multi-agent systems. The AAMAS conference series was initiated in 2002 as the merging of three respected scientific meetings: the International Conference on Multi-Agent Systems (ICMAS), the International Workshop on Agent Theories, Architectures, and Languages (ATAL), and the International Conference on Autonomous Agents (AA). The aim of the joint conference is to provide a single, high-profile, internationally-respected archival forum for scientific research in the theory and practice of autonomous agents and multi-agent systems.

Browse keynotes, discussions, panels and over 300 presentations.


AAMAS is the leading scientific conference for research in autonomous agents and multi-agent systems. The AAMAS conference series was initiated in 2002 as the merging of three respected scientific meetings: the International Conference on Multi-Agent Systems (ICMAS), the International Workshop on Agent Theories, Architectures, and Languages (ATAL), and the International Conference on Autonomous Agents (AA). 

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Multirobot systems for covering environments are increasingly used in applications like cleaning, industrial inspection, patrolling, and precision agriculture. The problem of covering a given environment using multiple robots can be naturally formulated and studied as a multi-Traveling Salesperson Problem (mTSP). In a mTSP, the environment is represented as a graph and the goal is to find tours (starting and ending at the same depot) for the robots in order to visit all the vertices with minimum global cost, namely the length of the longest tour. The mTSP is an NP-hard problem for which several approximation algorithms have been proposed. These algorithms usually assume generic environments, but tighter approximation bounds can be reached focusing on specific environments. In this paper, we address the case of environments composed of sub-parts, called modules, that can be reached from each other only through some linking structures. Examples are multi-floor buildings, in which the modules are the floors and the linking structures are the staircases or the elevators, and floors of large hotels or hospitals, in which the modules are the rooms and the linking structures are the corridors. We focus on linear modular environments, with the modules organized sequentially, presenting an efficient (with polynomial worst-case time complexity) algorithm that finds a solution for the mTSP whose cost is within a bounded distance from the cost of the optimal solution. The main idea of our algorithm is to allocate disjoint "blocks" of adjacent modules to the robots, in such a way that each module is covered by only one robot. We experimentally compare our algorithm against some state-of-the-art algorithms for solving mTSPs in generic environments and show that it is able to provide solutions with lower makespan and spending a computing time several orders of magnitude shorter.

A Computational Model of Human Hurricane Evacuation Decision

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A Computational Model of Human Hurricane Evacuation Decision

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